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Tomasz Nadrowski

Critical-minerals supply-chain analyst

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China is 17% of global GDP, some 35% of global manufacturing, but about 60, 70, 80, sometimes 95% of production, processing, refining of some of these materials — a quasi-monopoly way above its weight in the global economy.

2026-07-21-podcast-columbia-energy-exchange-tom-moerenhout-and-tomasz-nadrowski-on-fixing-the· 2026-07-21#us-critical-mineral-independence#china-ree-controls-to-us-producer-stack

It takes years to invest in minerals and see a result. If we're starting now, we'll see results maybe in 10 or 15 or 16 or 17 years, depending on the nature of the deposit and the processing stage.

Notes

Tomasz Nadrowski

One-line summary: Analyst framing China's 60-95% grip on mineral processing/refining as a quasi-monopoly far above its GDP weight, with 10-17yr Western lead times to respond.

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